MARCH 5 LOOKAHEAD

Kansas @ Missouri PK
- Missouri at home should be popular upset but Kansas needs this to win Big 12 regular season, an accomplishment they always go for. Also #1 possibly in play. Don't think Missouri is very good this year, they could get some steals and go on a few runs, but Kansas has enough post offense to get easy buckets to limit them (Missouri 2pt FG defense #8 in big 12, #12 in def rebounding...they do not go hard in the paint). Would be suprised if Kansas was a dog. Missouri always worthy of respect at home but if favored and public think Kansas can steal a win, Missouri's best home win is against a defective Kansas St. Tough game though, lean Kansas. Kansas...probably.

Va Tech @ Clemson -2
- Hokies off a loss but don't care, Clemson is a great team that has been improving all year. Last home game, chance to nail a winning ACC season...hokies are underrated though but terrible spot having to play early Saturday in Clemson (Delaney called it his least favorite road trip last Saturday on Gameday). Clemson home court efficiency #2 in ACC to DUKE! I smell a beat down as Hokies wish ACC season ended last week. If Clemson small favorite (#1 ACC in FT%), POUND IT. Tigers!

Louisville @ West Virginia -4
- Mountaineers the best 3pt efG% defense in Big East. Louisville locked in double bye for Big East. This just looks too easy on paper, but after watching Mountaineers, they are too stupid sometimes for this to be easy. They should roll, but it could very well be an up and down affair. Strong lean to West Va. 'Eers.

Duqeunse @ Richmond -7
- Richmond should roll here but have not had a big win in a few weeks, including losing at home to Xavier. But Duquense really wearing down and Spiders don't turn it over. Last home game, just think the Spiders roll here. Spiders..probably.

Indiana @ Illinois -13
- Short rest for Hoosiers, this could get ugly. Meh.

Georgia State @ George Mason -11
- Layoff could cool Mason and can't recommend these big favorites opening the post season, won't wake up til 2nd half. Georgia State will be ready to go, have fought all season. Ga St...probably.

Georgia @ Alabama -6
- Tide should roll. They've locked up their side of the SEC but Grant will have them in top form to try to win a bid to the Big Dance. Georgia weaker on road and Tide 2nd most efficient home team in SEC. UGA literally does nothing well while 'Bama sports the #1 defense and eFG% in the SEC. ROLL TIDE!

UVA @ Maryland -8
- Oh my how I would NOT trust the Terps here. Its UVA or nothing. They are a good road dog and still fighting. Meh.

MIchigan St @ Michigan -2 O/U 124
- Spartans worst road team in Big 10. And its not really close. Wow this is amazing that Spartans would be underdogs here. No way I could trust them. Wolverines on the other hand are playing great and need a win to improve Big 10 seeding and keep at large bid hopes alive. Still, Izzo always capable of waking the team up, lean under in what will be a physical do or die rivalry payback senior day atmosphere. Meh.

Notre Dame @ Uconn -3
- Irish not as horrible as years past on the road, but Uconn in must win mode with revenge in probably Kemba's last home game? Yikes. Still, if point spread too high, Notre Dame been underrated all season, most efficient offense in Big East (but #10 defense as well). So take points if there are too many. UConn...probably.

Georgetown @ Cincinatti -4
- Hoyas have had a week off to regroup without Wright, and should be ready to right the ship, but Cinci still underrated and great at home, could be tough for Hoyas to win without Wright. They are weaker on the road and the offense is too reliant on pull up 3s (ala Villanova). Cinci should win this, and probably cover. Meh.

Oregon @ Arizona -12
- Ducks falling apart down the stretch. A win gives Arizona sole Pac 10 chip. Should roll. Cats.

Drexel @ VCU -7
- Dragons are thin and played sloppy today. VCU should be ready to go after terrible end to season and being in the Coliseum. Weak on the boards so don't want to lay too many, but Drexel let Towson play with them and that is not a good sign, especially when your #292 in the country in bench minutes. Rams.

Creighton vs Missouri St -5
- Bears a bit overvalued right now, showed today. Creighton playing very well lately and could be dangerous here, have the #1 3pt eFG% in MVC and that is key against Missouri St. Creighton has enough options on offense to close a gap if down early/late. Blue Jays.

Oregon St @ Arizona St -6
- Don't want it with Snedek's Devils right now. Team has turned a corner and plays MUCH better at home. Devils.

UNC Asheville @ Coastal Carolina -6
- Asheville kinda rolling and will have confidence playing on road where they recently won. But if spread is too low, Chanticleers are very determined to make the Dance despite adversity and have the best player on the court. Meh.

UCLA @ Washington St -2
- Love it that Kyle is out for rollin with weed, as team will rally round it for senior night in a big game. Guys like Motem and Moore can step up here. On the other hand, UCLA will be everybody's favorite, maybe the most public play of the day. However, second leg of worst road trip in Pac 10 with a limited bench and may have peaked on Thursday (and come up short)...just don't like this spot for young Bruins. COUGARS!

Villanova @ Pitt -10
- Just don't see how Nova survives this game. Horrible spot for a team on a wretched downward spiral. Pitt...probably.

Florida @ Vanderbilt -4
- Love the 'Dores. Florida has their side of the SEC locked up and Vanderbilt would love a revenge win on senior day with a chance to improve seeding in up coming tournament. DORES...as long as they aren't laying too many.

Marquette @ Seton Hall Pk
- Pirates have confidence after win over Red Storm but Marquette needs a win and this team isn't dead by any means. Think that Marquette wins late against undisciplined chaotic Seton Hall who fouls too much and can't possibly win two at home in a row. EAGLES!

Stanford @ California -7
- Bears should be amp'd for the Big Game and have an improving squad. WOODSHEED ALERTY! ROLL ON YOU BEARS!

Rutgers @ Providence -5
- Can't tell you how much I love the Scarlet Knights this year. Should cover, maybe even win, team has improved this year.

Dook @ North Carolina -1
- Have to imagine UNC is a slight favorite given the tear they are on. ACC championship on the line, should be a fantastic game. Duke however is so strong on the road, in efficiency measures they have been as strong on the road in ACC play as UNC has been at home. As much as I hate it I think the veteran team comes in and gets a big win in their final ACC game, especially after the Virginia Tech wake up in a similar spot. DOOK!

Texas @ Baylor +3
- Don't think I can back Baylor even as a home dog in a must win, and at 3 the goons will be calling this a trap line. They just play too sloppy (#1 in Turnovers..IN THE NATION) and will have a brutal time against this Texas D coming off a few lame performances lacking intensity...just think this Texas team is different than the ones that have collapsed last few years. Think Texas rolls. HOOK EM.

KEEP WINNING!

MARCH 2nd

5-7 (0-2 Large)

KEEP WINNING

Michigan St -11
Louisville -13.5
Florida St +2.5
ECU -1
Maryland -1
West Virginia -5 *LARGE*
Cincinatti +5.5
Colorado St -9.5
New Mexico +11
Utah St -7
Clemson +12

MARCH 1st

LET THE MADNESS ENSUE! Some pretty nice dogs tonight, and as we saw with Kansas St last night, teams playing better ball the past week tend to keep heating up. Not sure that helps make the case for Illinois @ Purdue, but that team has potential and I just can't get off them. Will keep track from here on out as we close the season.

Va Tech -9 and Ove 136: most expect a Hokie letdown, but I don't see it for this group on senior night against a BC team that already beat them. Hokies offense CLICKING and BC has hands down the worst defense in the ACC, Jackson always capable of taking a game over for the Eagles, but think BC wears down and melts in second half.

Okie St -2: hopefully they keep the momentum going in a sandwich spot for baylor. okie st #2 in big 12 in steals so like their chances to get enough turnovers and transition buckets to win.

Missouri +1.5: just don't see how nebraska has any left in the tank after two tough late collapses. missouri press should wear them down.

Wisconsin Green Bay +5.5: not enough separating these teams to justify laying more than a couple buckets. should go down to the wire.

UVA -1.5: beating a defeated yellow jacket team not enought to convince me sidney lowe has rallied his troops. wahoos in home finale should take a win simply because they are better coached.

Alabama +6 *LARGE* and Under 127: Florida typically enjoys a significant paint advantage, but not in this matchup. the Tide control the paint and as long as they don't foul (florida average in drawing fouls) i like them to get their first marquee win. game should play very similar to florida v florida st earlier this season.

Illinois +9.5: quick turnaround for purdue (who i love) but don't see them having an easy game against desperate illinois. Illini have great FG defense just can't get a turnover for the life of them. certainly have the height to contain JJ.

Penn St +6.5 *LARGE*: have to take the home dog in the biggest game in nittany lion hoops history. they don't turn the ball over and can turn this into a grinder and make ohio st have to win ugly.

Vandy +8 and Over 147: two best offenses in the SEC. sucker line but Vandy has been solid ATS on the road and kentucky coming off their typical bounceback win over the weekend. vandy just has major perimiter advantage and i'd rather go to war with ezili than anybody else on uk. would love to see coach cal blow the wildcats home streak.

Don't let the ML Scare you!

KEEP WINNING