Friday, February 25, 2011

Saturday Lookahead TASTE THE MADNESS

BC @ UVA -2
Eagles have hit the wall on offense, which is a bad sign when the defense is so bad. UVA has the shooters to expose that, but BC playing with back against the wall will be motivated. Should be a 3-fest so over could have value if in the 120s.

JMU @ VCU -6
Dukes ran into the ODU buzzsaw last night and looked a bit deflated. VCU has locked up the 4th seed in the CAA tournament but will want to avoid dropping 3 straight conference games at home. Also senior day, Rams should win big.

Missouri @ Kansas St -6
Ride the Wildcats. Team is on a roll right now and Missouri is awful on the road. Wildcats have trouble with turnovers but should be much better with the ball at home in a must-win for them to seal a bid to the Dance. Missouri awful on the boards as well.

Syracuse @ Georgetown -2
Hoyas know how to attack the zone but with Wright out and the Orange being in revenge mode as well as playing better on the road, have to think they are ripe to pull the upset in this one. Confidence is high after win at Villanova. Winner has good shot at a double bye for Big East tournament so a lot at stake.

Wichita St @ Missouri St -2
First place in the MVC on the line. Shockers limping to the finish after two unimpressive home performances, but 8-0 on the road in MVC play and a chance to take control of the league…they are the better team in PPP and I think we have another good road dog.

Milwaukee @ Youngstown St +7
Wisco Milwaukee has a chance to win the Horizon, that was unheard of a few weeks ago. But a win and homecourt for the tournament and a #1 seed is theirs. This team is really coming together and while I’d use caution going into this spot, if the spread is under 10 you have to like Milwaukee to get it done.

BYU @ San Diego St -3
Aztecs just too good at home to not take here. BYU no slouch on the road themselves, but Jimmer has been wearing down. Winner gets first place in the MWC, expect a raucous crowd.

St Johns @ Nova -5
Nova in danger of dropping out of top 8 in big east and missing first round bye. Must win spot in last home game, st johns magic has to wear off at some point.

Miami @ Florida St -6
Not giving up on the Hurricanes just yet, Singleton still out for Seminoles and Canes could use a big win here to keep post season hopes alive. Florida St has trouble extending margins lately and with a mediocre offense I don’t like their chances to take this one by double digits.
Georgia Tech @ NC St -6
Good spot for the Wolfpack to pick up a win. Yellow Jackets a total mess right now.

Wofford @ Furman PK
Furman about as good a home dog as you can find. Wofford with revenge, but Furman a team full of seniors should be a good play as a home dog.

Delaware @ Hofstra -8
Jenkins last home game and Hofstra can still improve seeding for CAA with win, should be a blowout.

Memphis @ UTEP -1
Miners reeling a big but no better time to get it back in gear than a home date with Memphis. Memphis winning on the road lately, but most games too close for comfort. Look for UTEP to get the big win at home to get back in the CUSA chase.

Arizona @ UCLA -1
Big showdown at Pauley. Last home game for bruins but no seniors, but have not lost at home all year. While the Bruins have an impressive run going, still no signature win. This could provide that, but think value will be with underdog Arizona who is more than capable of winning this and locking up first place in the Pac 10.

Kansas @ Oklahoma +12
Sooners an fumes and not sure this is the spot to turn it around. Jayhawks probably anxious to get back on the road after debacle in Manhattan. Lay the points if anything.

Texas @ Colorado +10
Not ready to give up on the Buffs, who have the offensive efficiency to not melt under the Texas defense. Would take the points in what should be closer than most think.

Florida @ Kentucky -5
Quick turnaround for the Gators, and think this is very similar to when Kentucky had Tennekey at home a few weeks back. Bottom line is the Cats just roll at home so unless spread is much more inflated than this, lay the points.

Alabama @ Miss +2
Tide needs to keep rolling to keep bid alive, so not too afraid to lay small number on the road against Ole Miss who lost a lot of momentum after recent road trip.

William and Mary @ Old Dominion -16
Monarchs are the hottest team in college hoops and everybody is still late to the party. Will completely undress the Tribe on senior night with a chance to lock up the 2nd seed for the CAA tournament.



Michigan @ Minnesota -4
Absolute must win for the Gophers and just not sure Michigan can bounceback from the banked 3 that ended their Big Dance hopes. Gophers were too big and athletic in the last matchup and I don’t expect that to change here.

Cal @ Oregon St +3
Not sure why I’d stop riding the Bears, but I haven’t had a clean read on the Beavers all year. Cal is still the most dangerous team heading into the Pac 10 tourney.

Stanford @ Oregon -4
Ducks should take this one against a clearly rebuilding Cardinal.

George Mason @ Georgia St +10
Mason train finally derailed last night, and Georgia St hasn’t had a home game in two weeks so could be ready for maximum effort at home on senior night.

Miss St @ Tennessee -10
Can’t really trust either of these teams but Miss St has been a mess all year so lay the wood or stay away.

Colorado St @ Air Force +6
Rams desperate for a win after dropping two tough ones, should be a beat down.

Southern Miss @ UCF +2

South Carolina @ Georgia -8

Seton Hall @ Notre Dame -10

Arizona St @ USC -12

Duquense @ St Louis +6

Duke @ Va Tech +2
Love the Hokies here.

Texas A&M @ Baylor +2
Revenge for bubbling A&M.

Loyola Marymount @ USF -10

Boise St @ Nevada -3

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