Friday, March 05, 2010

Saturday 3/6 Preview

West Virginia @ Villanova
Senior day for Scottie Reynolds. Seen a few of these big time guards (Collins, Vazquez) go off on senior night to know that you don’t want to go against them. Last time they matched up Nova guards got anything they wanted, Mountaineers defense not really quick enough to keep up. Just seems like a bad matchup for West Va, and they haven’t been the strongest road team this year. Line Estimate: Nova -6.

Cincinatti @ Georgetown
Great spot to back Hoyas who need a win to set up a first round BE bye, and while there are no seniors, expect a lot of emotion given the Freeman news. Bearcats running out of fight and probably won’t make NCAA tourney either way, and are awful ATS this year. Hoyas not great as home faves so use caution. Line Estimate: Georgetown -7

Tulsa @ Memphis
Tigers are heating up, look out in the CUSA tournament. Tulsa just never met expectations this year and doubt this is the spot for them to do it, as Memphis just popped the bubble of hungry UAB team on the road. Memphis not great ATS at home (4-7 ATS) but playing much better of late, especially on offensive end. Line Estimate: Memphis -7.

Richmond @ Charlotte
I’m in love with the Spiders. This is a great revenge spot. Charlotte had a hot run earlier but is now very overrated. 2-6 ATS at home. Richmond solid on the road. Not sure they’ll be catching points, but should have the desire to win this one even though locked up 3 seed in A-10 tourney. Line Estimate: Richmond -2.

USC @ Arizona
Southern Cal a feisty road dog so tempted if the points are large. Arizona struggled with UCLA while USC showed some fight in Tempe. Nic Wise senior day should be good for a game winner, but this one should be tight. Line Estimate: Arizona -3.

Maryland @ UVA
Terps undefeated as a road fave (4-0) and UVA tanking down the stretch. Beware this rivalry though and a Terp letdown, especially if UVA getting too many points. Line Estimate: Maryland -6.

Notre Dame @ Marquette
Can it continue? Golden Eagles catch another hot team and will pop another bubble as they remain underrated. Irish playing well but the run most likely stops here against a Marquette team that matches up very well with no ‘Gody. Line Estimate: Marquette -5

Syracuse @ Louisville
Last home game at Freedom Hall. Could be a tough spot for Cuse, but after having already lost to the Cardinals at home you have to assume they will be ready for a maximum effort to close out the Big East season. Syracuse has had problems with TOs so watch the press. Over may have value after last meeting’s ugly game. Line Estimate: Syracuse -2, O/U 142
Kansas @ Missouri
Tigers can’t shoot like Okie St but hopefully will be fired up for the big game. Tough on defense, but just not sure Kansas can be defeated with the press as Sheron is so good at breaking it. But Jayhawks still unimpressive on road (yet to be a dog though) and Missouri one of the most underrated teams in the country (yet to be a dog at home though). Line Estimate: Pick Em

Purdue @ Penn St
LOOK OUT! Penn State playing much better these past few games and could be ready to pull the upset against a hobbling top 10 foe. Purdue 2-5 ATS as road fave, so if Lions catching enough points, bite. Line Estimate: Purdue -7

Texas Tech @ Colorado
Gonna ride the Buffs til the end of the year. Red Raiders plummeting, can’t wait for season to be over. Line Estimate: Colorado -6.

Ole Miss @ Arkansas
Gave up on them and just like that Rebels are back on the covering trail. Been great on the road, and have a revenge spot here. The winner of this game gets a bye in the first round of upcoming SEC tournament, and expect and up and down pace with lots of scoring. Very underrated game. Line Estimate: Arkansas -1, O/U 150

Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech
Not sure Hokies can withstand the Windex job the Yellow Jackets should do. This should be a very fast high energy game that gets very sloppy at times. Probably best to stay away, Hokies still playing for first round ACC bye but both teams on bubble so should be giving it all. Line Estimate: Georgia Tech -2

UCLA @ Arizona St
Not sure the Bruins rebound from that meltdown last night. Sun Devils still on the bubble so will want a big win, look out though as they are a paltry 5-9 as a home favorite this year. Line Estimate: Arizona St -8.

Tennessee @ Miss St
Volunteers still mediocre on the road while Bulldogs will be looking for a big win to justify a bid, so expect Miss St to get a big W here. Both teams play good defense so see if high pace skews total. Line Estimate: Bulldogs -2, O/U 141

St Louis @ Dayton
Story of home and away here. Flyers have crushed it at home, and should be ready for a big win to boost A-10 seeding if Charlotte loses. Line Estimate: Dayton -6

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