Tuesday March 2 Picks

Villanova @ Cincinatti
Not one for the square play, but this is a great matchup for Nova. Bearcats have some beasts downlow but a terrible 1-8 ATS at home. Nova defense gets shredded by fouling too much, but Bearcats awful at the line and don’t get their much anyway. Use caution as it is senior night and Cinci on the bubble, but Nova not terrible on the road and need to get back on track before the Big East tourney. Play: Nova -3.5

Minnesota @ Michigan
One word: UGLY. Not sure you could have faith in either side here (minn awful on the road this year), so looking to play under (played it their last matchup and got burned late). Either Michigan bricks all the 3s they are gonna get and this doesn’t get close, or they hit em and it flies over. Play: Under 125

Vanderbilt @ Florida
Vandy still getting no respect but this is the one Florida has to have so not sure a good spot for the Commodores. Also note that Vandy has never shown up in the Swamp (always losing by DDs). Instead look at the over. Both teams very leaky on D but great on offense, so hopefully Dores push the pace enough for both teams to get to 70. Play: Over 147, Lean Florida -3

UTEP @ Marshall
I’m on my CUSA sh*t. Love Marshall here. UTEP finally faces a team with the athletes and up-tempo pace to compete. UTEP fouls too much and Marshall can expose that. Play: Marshall -2

Georgia Tech @ Clemson
Clemson is 9-2 ATS as home fave. They have a fantastic defense. Its senior night. Ga Tech will get pushed into an uptempo game that really doesn’t favor them as they aren’t careful with the ball. Play: Clemson -7

Louisville @ Marquette
Cardinals are the new sexy team in big east bubble talk. That’s fine, just stay away from my Golden Eagles. Their spread run has to end at some point, but they know how to win the close ones and this is a big home game for them. Play: Marquette -2

Illinois @ Ohio St
People not really onto Illinois on the road yet, works for me. 5-1 ATS as a road dog. This may be a tough matchup, and Ohio St is looking to wrap up Big 10, but Illinois needs another big win and is road tested. Play: Illinois +10